Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.189378 0.210831 0.232996 0.257553 0.283944 0.311402 0.342074
2024-12-29 0.163349 0.192998 0.224909 0.261629 0.302536 0.346531 0.397243
2025-01-05 0.141921 0.176814 0.215744 0.262015 0.315130 0.373817 0.443176
2025-01-12 0.124783 0.163299 0.207704 0.262032 0.326048 0.398433 0.485799
2025-01-19 0.109928 0.150784 0.199368 0.260419 0.334079 0.419099 0.523622
2025-01-26 0.099311 0.142266 0.194811 0.262433 0.345735 0.443609 0.565842
2025-02-02 0.092825 0.138221 0.195150 0.269944 0.363727 0.475575 0.617098
2025-02-09 0.084514 0.131003 0.190813 0.271046 0.373441 0.497367 0.656181
2025-02-16 0.078401 0.126141 0.189018 0.274970 0.386399 0.523018 0.700052
2025-02-23 0.074874 0.124482 0.191168 0.283814 0.405533 0.556403 0.753720
2025-03-02 0.067759 0.117155 0.185182 0.281491 0.409982 0.571237 0.784360
2025-03-09 0.062241 0.111679 0.181323 0.281653 0.417395 0.589670 0.819504
2025-03-16 0.056397 0.105445 0.176279 0.280260 0.423062 0.606461 0.853557
2025-03-23 0.053086 0.102819 0.176173 0.285558 0.437651 0.634888 0.902766
2025-03-30 0.048865 0.098397 0.173152 0.286530 0.446261 0.655538 0.942164
2025-04-06 0.044873 0.093996 0.169865 0.286873 0.453855 0.674819 0.979910
2025-04-13 0.040792 0.089080 0.165475 0.285337 0.458645 0.690290 1.012731
2025-04-20 0.037959 0.086052 0.163785 0.287598 0.468662 0.712770 1.054922
2025-04-27 0.036629 0.085567 0.166020 0.295690 0.487002 0.746653 1.112535
2025-05-04 0.033961 0.082416 0.163796 0.296906 0.495443 0.767111 1.152424
2025-05-11 0.032095 0.080590 0.163595 0.301120 0.508190 0.793538 1.200515
2025-05-18 0.031344 0.080828 0.166772 0.310580 0.528670 0.830809 1.263547
2025-05-25 0.028498 0.076711 0.162428 0.308107 0.531533 0.843643 1.293581